Powell’s speech – US dollar remains soft

The US dollar remained soft during the last week. And also during Asian session. Regardless Powell’s speech, and his defending of the Fed’s current policy to raise interest rates ignoring president Trump’s recent criticism, US dollar remained soft. After Powell’s movements there should be expected a more hawkish signal. We could see the US dollar weakening.

EUR/USD rose on last week testing the 1.1623 resistance line, now turned to support and broke it (during the Asian session). The pair seems to be struggling with the prementioned support line and the upward trend line. We could see it reaching out for the 1.1675 resistance line and even breaching it. On the other side, we could see the pair breaking the 1.1623 support line and aim if not breach the 1.1537 support level.

Regional policies will stay unchanged – promised by Iran

Iran don’t care much about USA, and will proceed normally its operations in the Middle East despite America’s interference. Also, Iran rejected U.S. President Trump’s offer of unconditional talks to overcome obstacles and banned any talks with the US. But on the other side, they mentioned that there will be no war with the US.

Crude Oil prices dropped during Monday. Later the commodities price corrected and made up for the previous decline. We could see it move higher and break the 67.75 resistance level. On the other side, we could see the commodity moving lower to the 66.79 support level and aim for the 66.03 support barrier.

NAFTA negotiations to begin again

As per media yesterday, high level negotiations pick up again about NAFTA between the US, Canada and Mexico. US president Trump said on Monday, that he talked with Mexico about doing something very dramatic, very positive to reach a trade deal. Most sticking points continue to include car content rules, the expiration clause and Trump’s threats of tariffs on foreign cars. It should be noted that Canada and Mexico remain optimistic about reaching a deal, though an August deadline may seem too soon. Under certain circumstances, further headlines about further progress in the NAFTA negotiations could support CAD and MXN.

USD/CAD dropped yesterday, breaking consecutively the 1.3120 and the 1.3050 support lines, reflecting the strengthening of the Looney and the weakening of the USD. We could see the pair stabilizing today maybe even correcting a bit, however the pair may prove sensitive to any further headlines regarding NAFTA as well as today’s US financial releases. Should the bears be in the driver’s seat, we could see the pair breaking the 1.2985 support line, while if the bulls take over the market we could see the pair breaking the 1.3050 resistance line and aim for the 1.3120 resistance hurdle.